The Real View

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The Market Bottom: How to Find It


San Diego Real Estate Market BottomWe have no shortage of buyers in our San Diego real estate market.

Most are just sitting on the sidelines waiting for what feels like a market bottom.

It is a scenario that is probably duplicated in real estate markets throughout the country.

Through a period of trial and error, we have learned to attract serious and qualified buyers utilizing value range marketing, with very enticing bottom pricing. Utilizing value range pricing, we establish a price range which will be acceptable to the seller.

Here are three recent and successful examples:

Case I: We listed an older 1900 square foot home in San Diego’s Clairemont Mesa. The home was clean and vacant, but in dire need of updating. Other unsold homes in the neighborhood were priced in the mid $500’s to low $600’s. Our seller was motivated and did not wish to be bothered with updating the home We knew there would be buyers who would be happy to remodel a home to their own desires–if the price were attractive enough. We priced this property with a value range of $479,000 to $525,000. Within a week or so we had two offers--and ended up settling on a price of $465,000 in as-is condition. The first time home buyers are delighted with their purchase, and the seller is relieved to have sold her home with no required repairs.

Case II: A listing in Encinitas Ranch is rented to uncooperative tenants, who adamantly refuse to allow the home to be shown to anyone. It languished on the market at $950,000, in danger of slipping into foreclosure. We reduced the price to $700,000 to $800,000, and within five days had six offers. The top negotiated price is $50,000 over the high end of the value range–and the lender is pleased. The buyers are also ecstatic to be buying a home in upscale and coastal Encinitas Ranch at such a reasonable price–and are willing to collect rent and await lease expiration in April.

Case III: This home in Lake San Marcos gathered few lookers when priced at the high end of the current market: $499,000 to $525,000. Destined to be a short sale, we slashed the price to $300,000 to $400,000 and currently have two offers in mid range–with others promised in the next few days.

None of these offers have come from buyers seeking 100 percent financing. All are putting down a minimum of 20 percent, and a couple are all cash offers.

These are serious home buyers who have been waiting for San Diego buying opportunities such as these. They are not looking at homes with yesterday’s pricing; they are seeking below-market pricing and the security that brings in turbulent real estate markets.

Stay tuned for the next installment, where we will reveal an innovative real estate pioneer’s plan to free locked-up equity in homes whose owners are wishing to move up or down in the San Diego real estate market.

 

 

Bargains in Luxury Homes 

San Diego Real Estate 

La Jolla Real Estate 

Del Mar Real Estate 

Encinitas Real Estate 

Carlsbad Real Estate 

La Costa Real Estate 

Aviara Real Estate 

Rancho Santa Fe Real Estate 

San Marcos Real Estate 

Oceanside Real Estate 

Luxury Real Estate 

 

Most Visited Real Estate Web Sites: WOW!

 Realtor.com is surely thumping its chest over its domination for market share and eyeballs, but other interesting observations can be gleaned from this recent Hitwise report, which released real estate induustry-wide 2007 rankings of more than 100 sites.

I immediately noted that Trulia.com has passed Zillow. And that MSN Real Estate beats both Yahoo Real Estate and HomeGain.

Like, WOW!

More than anything, I am amazed at Trulia's surprised showing and wish to offer Pete Flint and crew a bouquet of fireworks. 

Congratulations to all! 

 

    comScore ranking of total unique visitors for December 2007:

Rank Site
1 REALTOR.COM(R)
2 MSN Real Estate
3 Yahoo! Real Estate
4 Rent.com
5 Apartments.com
6 Homegain.com
7 Trulia.com
8 Servicemagic.com
9 HPCInter@active
10 Zillow.com
 
I will try to dig out ActiveRain's score later today--unless someone already has it. (If so, please share!)
 

It's No Joke: Real Estate Bargains in Rancho Santa Fe


Rancho Santa Fe HomeIt may be hard to consider any Rancho Santa Fe (92067) real estate a bargain, when single family Rancho Santa Fe homes start at $1.15 million and currently peak at $29.9 million.

Moreover, only 16 of the current 167 active listings in RSF are priced under $2 million.

Hardly the bargain bin of real estate.

Rancho Santa Fe, nestled in the eucalyptus groves of North San Diego County, is perennially listed as one of the wealthiest zip codes (92067) in the nation, and is generally seen as being almost bullet proof when it comes to market downturns. 

Still, with some diligent searching,  we have bumped into a few notable buys:

  

  • A 3220 square foot Del Rayo Downs home in Rancho Santa Fe was purchased for $1.74 million on 3/14/2006. It is vacant, in lovely condition and has been reduced to $1.395. The owner will even consider a trade.
  • A gated, private and single story Mediterranean estate with over 5000 square feet on one acre just closed escrow at $2.1 million. It needed TLC, but the lots and bones were probably worth the total price. Located just outside Fairbanks Ranch.
  • A 19.4-acre gated Covenant estate was listed at $29.5 million last August and closed escrow at a paltry $21 million last month. It was reportedly a cash sale.
  • A Notice of Default has been filed against a lovely and very spacious 3-bedroom Rancho Santa Fe condo that has recently been reduced to around $1.2 million. I am already calling clients on this one.
  • Another Rancho Santa Fe townhome was reportedly purchased for $1.675 million in the summer of 2005. It is now on the market at a value range of $1.3 to $1.4 million, has assumable financing, and guaranteed golf membership in the Rancho Santa Fe Golf Club .

Click to continue reading about Rancho Santa Fe real estate bargains.

 

Other related articles would include:

Luxury Builder Claims 2007 Worst in 40 Years

San Diego Irresistible to Ex-Pats and Foreigners

 

You may also wish to read about or search:

San Diego MLS 

Aviara Real Estate 

Carlsbad Real Estate 

Coronado Real Estate 

Del Mar Real Estate 

Encinitas Real Estate 

La Costa Real Estate 

La Jolla Real Estate 

Oceanside Real Estate 

Rancho Santa Fe Real Estate 

San Diego Real Estate 

San Marcos Real Estate 

 

How to Unlock Equities and Defrost the Market


real estate exchangeBob Dyson is a real estate legend who recently launched Sotheby’s real estate offices in the San Diego, Palm Springs and Las Vegas markets.

He has kindly agreed to share some exciting news about a new real estate exchange program that is set to rock the San Diego real estate market mid-January.

This program will do much to liberate locked-up equities in homes throughout Southern California.

But I’ll not steal his thunder….

by Bob Dyson

How I See It: Let’s Liberate Home Equities

With all the alarming issues facing us in Real Estate ownership and all the turmoil in Real Estate lending, I have been searching endlessly for fresh solutions to these problems.

What if we could create a new and faster way to buy and sell homes in today’s challenging market? What if real estate buyers and sellers could focus on the deal–instead of getting lost in the details of granite surfaces, designer amenities and upgrades?

We believe our home exchange program will help stabilize our troubled real estate market–and could be a program easily implemented in other cities outside of Southern California.

To continue reading this somewhat long letter, please go to San Diego Real Estate Exchange

OpenHouse.com Opening Door to All Brokers

 Today, Realogy is announcing that OpenHouse.com will become available to all real estate brokers, which should send up a collective cheer from home sellers around the country.

The site will be comprehensive, easy-to-use, and postings will come from an automated feed from each broker’s office.

Real estate brokers may also be smiling, because this should sooner rather than later do away with the need to advertise open houses in newspapers. Given that at least 78 percent of all real estate shoppers search online, it just makes sense for all open house listings to be posted there as well.

Realogy’s President and CEO Anthony Perriello and Mike Good, President and CEO of Sotheby’s International Realty Affiliate LLC, issued a joint letter to Sotheby’s Realty owners sharing the news. “In our opinion, consumers’ extensive use of the Internet in the homebuying process is enabling our industry to shift from expensive classified newspaper advertising into the nearly-free online arena–and with this major enhancement to OpenHouse.com, we are once again leading the charge.”

As a neutral, non-denominational site, OpenHouse.com will be available to every real estate broker for a nominal, one-time set up fee to initiate each non-Realogy’s brokers incoming data feed.

Additional information will be posted on Realogy’s site later today.

 

Read also:

 

Newspaper Advertising: A Dead Horse? 

San Diego Real Estate 

Luxury Home News 

It Never Rains in California? Guess Again!

San Diego RainWe braced ourselves in San Diego for the torrential downpour and the high winds that have battered San Francisco, Sacramento and Santa Barbara.

Instead, at least in the coastal areas, we were blessed with a fairly constant and gentle downpour. It will be enough to green our gardens and hillsides for awhile, but many of us were hoping for a greater accumulation of rain, but not enough to endanger the areas burned in last fall’s fires.

Unfortunately for San Diego Chargers fans, the gentle rain is expected to continue this afternoon. Rain coats and ponchos are advised for the 71,000 fans who will be watching today’s Charger playoff game against the Tennessee Titans at Qualcomm Stadium starting at 1 p.m. PST. An additional .50 to 1 inch of rainfall is expected in the San Diego area.

Overnight rain accumulations in San Diego County included .79 inches in Coronado, .84 in downtown San Diego, .57 in La Jolla, 1.70 in Alpine, 2.11 in Julian, .85 in Del Mar, .71 in Solana Beach, 1.20 in Encinitas, 1.04 inches in Carlsbad, 1.03 in Oceanside,  1.60 in Fallbrook, 5 inches at Palomar Mountain, and .01 at Borrego Springs.

Inland San Diego County, as usual, caught the greatest amount of rainfall.

Finally, I just couldn’t resist sharing Albert Hammond’s classic recording of “It Never Rains in Southern California

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-pyC7WnvLT4

 

 

San Diego Real Estate 

Luxury Real Estate 


Transferring to Camp Pendleton?

 I grew up as a military brat, but we never had the good fortune to be transferred to the San Diego area. Had that happened, I don't think we would have wanted to ever leave.

What can you expect here?

Your home will likely be smaller than where you have lived before, because housing costs are higher here.  But once you have digested that negative, you can consider all the positives:

1. A fabulous year-round climate. Smaller home? You'll be spending more time outdoors!

2. Entertainment costs should go down. San Diego has all sorts of free attractions: Beaches, mountains, public parks and even some free outdoor concerts. There are plenty of things to do with kids in San Diego, too.

3. Food costs should also drop. Much of our produce is grown locally and the San Diego area Farmer's Markets are the greatest.

4. You will be well-located here for various activities. Snow skiing is but a couple of hours or so away. How about a train ride into Los Angeles? Or a  trolley ride to the US and Mexico border? Or a whale watching trip out of the nearby Oceanside Harbor? You'll never wilt from boredom.

5. Need a second job? San Diego's economy is a robust one and unemployment rates are low. There are plenty of jobs if additional income is needed.

6. Finally, your wardrobe costs won't break the bank. Our balmy year-round climate negates the need for winter coats, furry boots and gloves. One wardrobe should serve you well throughout the year.

If you would like more information about the San Diego area, please feel free to visit San Diego Previews and explore to your heart's content. If you would like to discuss the area and your move here, please feel free to give me a call at 760-402-9101 or email: Roberta@SanDiegoPreviews.com

 

San Diego Real Estate

 

 

San Diego and Detroit: Sister Cities?

San Diego Beaches

Say what?

In 2004, San Diego real estate was ranked as the least affordable in the United States. Thousands of San Diegans, priced out of the coastal market, moved to Temecula, Murietta and other outlying and inland areas where homes were more affordable.

These days, according to the National Association of Homebuilders, San Diego has slipped to 16th place in California, with an improved 10.1 percent affordability for median income earners. That is just a whisper above San Bernardino-Riverside and Ontario Counties’ 10.2 percent.

This is phenomenal news, because San Bernardino County has traditionally been home to some of the most affordable real estate in California–and few might have imagined that coastal San Diego would approach the Inland Empire’s affordability levels.

In searching for a market bottom, San Diego has now tied with Detroit in ranking third in the nation for dropping home prices, sharing a staggering 9.6 percent drop in pricing during the past year. This is according to a recent Standard & Poor/Case-Schiller study recently reported in the San Diego Union Tribune.

All of this might lead one to think that the San Diego economy is in the same tank as Detroit, or that it has lost its perfect balmy climate and turned into a windy high desert.

But that just ain’t so….

And I don’t know of any period in recent history when San Diego real estate has been compared to Detroit’s.

By my calculations, something is maladjusted when San Diego real estate has nearly the same affordability level as that in San Bernardino or Riverside Counties–and has the same drop in home prices as depressed Detroit. This occurs despite San Diego’s strong economy, low unemployment, and being a premier destination for tourists and affluent international retirees.

Bubble bloggers and others may take aim at me for this prediction, but I believe the muddy bottom for San Diego real estate market is near.

After all, when San Diego gets thrown into the same tub with Detroit and San Bernardino, we just might have a perfect example of the baby being thrown out with the bathwater.

 

San Diego Real Estate 

Luxury Home Digest 

Errant Golf Balls and Peacock Poop

Errant Golf Ball DisclosureThis morning I sat in on a blogging webinar hosted by Kevin Boer and Pat Kitano. They covered some great stuff, but I had to chuckle when Kevin asked the students to write about how California’s errant golf ball disclosure came into being.

An errant golf ball disclosure may seem like an incredible waste of paper and resources, but that’s what happens when we live in such a litigious society.

There are anywhere from 50 to 150 pages of disclosures that are an integral part of each California real estate transaction. The one I always have fun pointing out to clients is the seemingly absurd disclosure that targets wayward golf balls.

I then feel compelled to explain that each of these disclosures is surely the result of some lawsuit–and that one can probably glean a history of California real estate litigation by going through each disclosure item.

I don’t know how the errant golf ball disclosure came into being, but I would imagine it resulted from someone like fictional Wilbert, who moved into a quiet golf course community and expected peaceful and quiet enjoyment  watching the bunnies and coots on the greens and fairways.

Were bad golfers/bad golf shots never anticipated?

One morning while enjoying an early cup of Starbucks on his patio, Wilbert was bopped in the head by an errant golf ball--surely the result of some hacker’s silly slice. The knot on his head throbbed for awhile, turned colors, and he laughed while telling the story to a group of people at a cocktail gathering a week later.

In the audience was (of course) a personal injury attorney who suggested Wilbert sue the sellers of his home, along with all the real estate agencies involved. These devious home sellers and Realtors should have disclosed that bad golf shots could break windows, knock noggins and result in a collection of golf balls in the shrubbery.

Fictional Wilbert and his attorney sued the home sellers and their agent–along with his own Realtor–for failing to disclose that one of the hazards of living on a golf course is the possibility (or certainty) of errant golf balls.

Whether the case was won or lost is irrelevant.

Agents and home sellers in the State of California must now disclose the hazard of errant golf balls that could be flying anywhere in the Golden State.

But the story doesn't end there. I also heard this morning about a required local hazard disclosure in Palos Verdes about Errant Peacock Poop….

 

Luxury Real Estate 

San Diego Real Estate